There's a good chance France and a few other euro area governments will have their credit ratings downgraded in the near future.
That would mark another low point in Europe's long-running debt crisis, but it may not shock the markets.
Fitch said France's credit rating is underpinned by "its wealthy and diversified economy," among other assets. But it warned that France could face significant "contingent liabilities" if the debt crisis continues to worsen.
In particular, France is the second-largest backer of the European Financial Stability Facility. That means the nation could be on the hook for up to €89 billion if another euro area nation, such as Italy, needs to be bailed out.
The biggest threat posed by a downgrade of France or another AAA-rated eurozone nation would be the impact on the EFSF, said Tobias Blattner, an economist specializing in the euro area at Daiwa Capital Markets in London.
The EFSF, a government-backed bailout fund, was also placed on review by S&P this month. The fund could see its AAA rating cut if the nations that guarantee its funds are downgraded.
Investors are worried about the exposure many big French banks have to debt issued by Greece, Italy and Spain. The concern is that the French government may have to pump billions of euros into the banks to prevent them from collapsing.
Beyond its liabilities, France has been suffering from an economic malaise that could make it difficult for the government to raise revenue.
On Thursday, the French national statistics office predicted that the nation's economy is already in a recession. Insee said it expects the French economy to shrink 0.2% in the current quarter and 0.1% in the first quarter of next year.
French officials have said that they will defend the nation's prized AAA credit rating. But the warning from S&P has led to some finger pointing in Paris.
Christian Noyer, governor of the Banque de France, suggested in an interview Thursday that S&P should look elsewhere for a downgrade.
A French downgrade could derail eurozone rescue
"They should start by downgrading the U.K. which has a bigger deficit, as much debt, more inflation, less growth than us," Noyer told Le Telegramme. "Their credit is collapsing."
In addition to France, analysts say Austria is also at risk of losing its AAA rating.
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